Week 17 Projections

11/16 correct last week

I have the Cowboys barely squeeking into the playoffs as well as the Jets.  That hasn't changed since last week despite both of them losing.

Season projections:

It's looking like the projection made in week 10 that the Bucs would lose the rest of their games and finish with 4 wins was actually true.  I got Brees finishing with exactly 5300 yards.  Keep in mind these are net yards.  I count negative yards.  They didn't when he broke the record.  Ah well.

Anyway, updated play offs which have the same seeding as last week... The main difference is that the Steelers beat the Ravens in the AFC Championship game and win it all.  Back to the original projections from week 1!  How about that?

AFC Teams by Seed:

1-Patriots, 2-Ravens, 3-Texans, 4-Broncos, 5-Steelers, 6-Jets

NFC Teams by Seed:

1-Packers, 2-49ers, 3-Saints, 4-Cowboys, 5-Falcons, 6-Lions

Wild Card Week:

Steelers @ Broncos, Steelers win 23-10

Jets @ Texans, Texans win 25-14

Falcons @ Cowboys, Cowboys win 23-20

Lions @ Saints, Saints win 40-29

Divisional Week:

Steelers @ Patriots, Steelers win 24-18

Texans @ Ravens, Ravens win 17-14

Cowboys @ Packers, Packers win 39-24

Saints @ 49ers, 49ers win 24-17

Conference Week:

Steelers @ Ravens, Steelers win 14-13

49ers @ Packers, Packers win 23-20

Superbowl:

Steelers beat Packers 22-17

History of superbowl winner:

Week 1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49eres, 9-Steelers, 10-Ravens, 11-Ravens, 12-Texans, 13-Ravens, 14-Ravens, 15-Ravens, 16-Ravens, 17-Steelers

History of superbowl loser:

Week 1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers, 9-49ers, 10-49ers, 11-Packers, 12-Packers, 13-Packers, 14-Packers, 15-Packers, 16-Packers, 17-Packers

Week 16 Projections

Lots of upsets last week. 9/16 correct.  Saints vs Vikings game was off by a single point.

Can't really argue with anything other than the Rams scoring 5 points.  More like 3 or 6, but more likely 6 than 3 if that makes any sense.

Season Projections:

Teams on the Rise:

Chiefs 5-7, Chargers 7-8, Colts 0-1, Eagles 6-7, Redskins 5-6, Seahawks 7-8, Panthers 5-6

Teams on the decline:

Jets 11-10, Raiders 8-7, Ravens 13-12, Texans 13-12, Titans 9-8, Giants 8-7, Bears 9-8, Packers 16-15

Teams staying put:

Bills (6), Dolphins (5), Patriots (13), Broncos (9), Bengals (9), Browns (4), Steelers (12), Jaguars (5), Cowboys (10), Cardinals (7), 49ers (13), Rams (2), Lions (10), Vikings (2), Falcons (10), Saints (13), Bucs (4)

Playoffs are basically the same as last week, except New England is the number 1 seed and the conference championship is between baltimore and pittsburgh!

AFC Teams By Seed:

1-Patriots, 2-Ravens, 3-Texans, 4-Broncos, 5-Steelers, 6-Jets

NFC Teams By Seed:

1-Packers, 49ers, Saints, Cowboys, Falcons, Lions

Wild Card Week:

Steelers @ Broncos, Steelers win 22-11

Jets @ Texans, Texans win 26-14

Falcons @ Cowboys, Cowboys win 22-21

Lions @ Saints, Saints win 40-28

Divisional Week

Steelers @ Patriots, Steelers win 24-20

Texans @ Ravens, Ravens win 17-15

Cowboys @ Packers, Packers win 38-25

Saints @ 49ers, 49ers win 25-17

Conference Week

Steelers @ Ravens, Ravens win 14-13

49ers @ Packers, Packers win 23-20

Superbowl

Ravens beat Packers 25-21

History or superbowl winners:

Week 1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49ers, 9-Steelers, 10-Ravens, 11-Ravens, 12-Texans, 13-Ravens, 14-Ravens, 15-Ravens, 16-Ravens
History of superbowl losers:
Week 1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers, 9-49ers, 10-49ers, 11-Packers, 12-Packers, 13-Packers, 14-Packers, 15-Packers, 16-Packers

Week 15 Projections

12/16 correct last week.

All of these look about right except for the Bears over the Seahawks.

Teams on the Rise:

Broncos 8-9, Giants 7-8, Eagles 5-6, Seahawks 6-7

Teams on the Decline:

Dolphins 6-5, Cowboys 11-10, 49ers, 14-13, Bears 10-9

Teams staying put:

Bills (6), Patriots (13), Jets (11), Chiefs (5), Raiders (8), Chargers (7), Ravens (13), Bengals (9), Browns (4), Steelers (12), Texans (13), Colts (0), Jaguars (5), Titans (9), Redskins (5), Cardinals (7), Rams (2), Lions (10), Packers (16), Vikings (2), Falcons (10), Panthers (5), Saints (13), Bucs (4)

Playoffs

AFC Teams By Seed:

1-Ravens, 2-Patriots, 3-Texans, 4-Broncos, 5-Steelers, 6-Jets

NFC Teams By Seed:

1-Packers, 2-49ers, 3-Saints, 4-Cowboys, 5-Falcons, 6-Lions

Since we're getting close to playoff time now, I'll actually post the scores in addition to the winner

Wild Card Week:

Steelers @ Broncos, Steelers win 22-11

Jets @ Texans, Texans win 25-14

Falcons @ Cowboys, Cowboys win 23-21

Lions @ Saints, Saints win 38-29

Divisional Week:

Steelers @ Ravens, Ravens win 15-13

Texans @ Patriots, Texans win 28-22

Cowboys @ Packers, Packers win 43-25

Saints @ 49ers, 49ers win 26-17

Conference Week:

Texans @ Ravens, Ravens win 17-14

49ers @ Packers, Packers win 25-20

Superbowl:

Ravens beat Packers 26-20

History of Superbowl Winner:

Week 1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49ers, 9-Steelers, 10-Ravens, 11-Ravens, 12-Texans, 13-Ravens, 14-Ravens, 15-Ravens

History of Superbowl Lower:

Week 1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers, 9-49ers, 10-49ers, 11-Packers, 12-Packers, 13-Packers, 14-Packers, 15-Packers

Week 14 Projections

10/16 Correct last week.  Chiefs over Bears?  Cardinals over Cowboys?  Really?

Anyway...

Looks about right...

Updated Season Projections:

So I figured out why I didn't have Brees projected to hit 5,000 yards last week... When uploading the pictures of the projections today, I noticed I had the Colts playing twice and the Saints... were missing.  This is the main reason why the Saints gained a win and the Titans lost one.  I of course had to re-run the entire rest of the season and do the playoffs all over again with the updates.  There was no change in the outcome, however.

Teams on the rise:

Broncos 7-8, Chiefs 4-5, Chargers 6-7, Cardinals 6-7, Seahawks 5-6, Saints 12-13

Teams on the decline:

Jaguars 6-5, Titans 10-9, Cowboys 12-11, Eagles 6-5, Bears 11-10, Vikings 3-2

Teams staying put:

Bills (6), Dolphins (6), Patriots (13), Jets (11), Raiders (8), Ravens (13), Bengals (9), Browns (4), Steelers (12), Texans (13), Colts (0),  Giants (7), Redskins (5), 49ers (14), Rams (2), Lions (10), Packers (16), Falcons (10), Panthers (5),  Bucs (4)

Playoffs are almost the same as last week's projections, except this time Denver wins the AFC West and is a one and done... just like the Raiders were.

AFC Teams by Seed:

1-Ravens, 2-Patriots, 3-Texans, 4-Broncos, 5-Steelers, 6-Jets

NFC Teams by Seed:

1-Packers, 2-49ers, 3-Saints, 4-Cowboys, 5-Bears, 6-Falcons

Wild Card Week:

Steelers @ Broncos, Steelers win

Jets @ Texans, Texans win

Bears @ Cowboys, Cowboys win

Falcons @ Saints, Saints win

Divisional Week:

Steelers @ Ravens, Ravens win

Texans @ Patriots, Texans win

Cowboys @ Packers, Packers win

Saints @ 49ers, 49ers win

Conference Week:

Texans @ Ravens, Ravens win

49ers @ Packers, Packers win

Superbowl:

Ravens beat Packers 27-21.  

History of SB Winners by Week:
1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49ers, 9-Steelers, 10-Ravens, 11-Ravens, 12-Texans, 13-Ravens, 14-Ravens
History of SB Losers by Week:
1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers, 9-49ers, 10-49ers, 11-Packers, 12-Packers, 13-Packers, 14-Packers