Friday, October 28, 2011

Week 8 Projections


Looks about right for the most part...

And the updated Season Projections:

Teams on the Rise:
Chiefs 4-6, Broncos 2-3, Bengals 10-11, Texans 10-12, Jaguars 3-5, Cowboys 8-10, Giants 8-9, 49ers 13-14 (what?!), Bears 8-10, Panthers 3-7 (whoa), Saints 11-12

Teams on the Decline:
Dolphins 2-1, Raiders 9-6, Ravens 13-12, Colts 1-0, Titans 11-8, Redskins 10-8, Cardinals 6-5, Packers (14-13, despite winning, barely beating the Vikings hurts them), Vikings 4-3, Falcons 10-9, Bucs 8-5

Teams staying put:
Bills (10), Patriots (11), Jets (11), Chargers (12), Browns (5), Steelers (12), Eagles (9), Seahawks (6), Rams (0), Lions (11)

Playoffs:
AFC Teams by Seed:
1-Steelers, 2-Chargers, 3-Texans, 4-Patriots, 5-Ravens, 6-Jets
NFC Teams by Seed:
1-Niners, 2-Packers, 3-Saints, 4-Cowboys, 5-Lions, 6-Bears


Wildcard Week:
Ravens @ Patriots, Ravens win
Jets @ Texans, Texans win
Lions @ Cowboys, Cowboys win
Bears @ Saints, Saints win

Divional Week:
Ravens @ Steelers, Steelers win
Texans @ Chargers, Chargers win
Cowboys @ Niners, Niners win
Saints @ Packers, Packers win

Conference Week:
Chargers @ Steelers, Steelers win
Packers @ Niners, Niners win

Superbowl:
Steelers vs Niners, Niners win 16-15

I'm the biggest 49er fan there is, but I don't even see this happening.  I rechecked the stats for the playoff teams and this was the result.  I hope it's right...

Note that the program rounds down to the nearest number (it has decimals for the scores initially).  In the event of a tie, it gives the team with the higher number before the rounding an extra point.  In this superbowl, it predicted Niners 15.4-Steelers 15.1...  Obviously, the smallest change in stats week to week could change this outcome.

History of projected superbowl winner:

Week 1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49ers
History of projected superbowl loser:
Week 1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers

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