Week 11 projections

After the new and improved formulas, this is what I have for the week.  With the old one, it had Green Bay scoring 67 points.  That's when I knew something needed a little tweaking.  Still, 55 points is a LOT.  It projects the Vikings beating the Raiders.  So long as they stick to running the rock with AP, I think this program might be right since Oakland can't stop the run to save their lives.

Anyway, onto the latest season projections.  Green Bay... perfect season, but the superbowl?  Not so much.

Teams on the rise:

Patriots 11-13, Broncos 4-5, Raiders 5-6, Ravens 12-13 (undefeated rest of season?!), Steelers 11-12, Texans 12-13, Jaguars 6-7, Titans 8-9, Cowboys 8-12, Cardinals 5-6, Seahawks 4-6, Bears 11-12, Packers 14-16, Saints 10-11

Teams on the decline:

Jets 13-12, Chiefs 7-5, Chargers 9-7, Bengals 12-9, Browns 5-3, Giants 10-8, Eagles 9-7, Redskins 5-4, Rams 3-2 (despite winning?  huh?), Lions 11-10, Falcons 11-10, Bucs 6-4

Teams staying put:

Bills (9), Dolphins (2), Colts (0), 49ers (14), Vikings (4), Panthers (5)

As you can see, last week along with the new formula really shook things up.  I don't see Baltimore and Houston winning out.  After all these are based on stats WITH Matt Shaub, so look for Houston to potentially crash and burn in the projections over the next few weeks.  I don't see the Bucs losing the rest of the games either, but they really are playing terrible right now and their schedule isn't exactly an easy one so who knows?  I think they'll split with the Panthers, but could potentially lose the other 5 games.

As for my 49ers... 14-2 is looking more and more like a possibilty.  Projections have them losing to Baltimore and beating Pittsburgh.  The other 5 games are against NFC West teams.  I'm thinking 13-3 at worst at this point.

Onto the playoff projections.  Baltimore for the perfect season Packers upset.

AFC Teams by seed:

1-Ravens, 2-Texans, 3-Patriots, 4-Chargers, 5-Steelers, 6-Jets

NFC Teams by seed:

1-Packers, 2-49ers, 3-Cowboys, 4-Saints, 5-Bears, 6-Falcons

Wild Card week:

Steelers @ Chargers, Steelers win

Jets @ Patriots, Patriots win

Bears @ Saints, Saints win

Falcons @ Cowboys, Cowboys win

Divisional week:

Steelers @ Ravens, Ravens win

Patriots @ Texans, Texans win (Again, this is based off of Matt Shaub stats.  There isn't enough to go on for Leinart and this program is based on completely unbiased facts.  I will not enter data that I THINK will represent how the Texans are with a different QB)

Saints @ Packers, Packers win

Cowboys @ 49ers, 49ers win

Conference week:

Texans @ Ravens, Ravens win

49ers @ Packers, Packers win

Superbowl:

Ravens beat the Packers 24-22

History of sueprbowl winner:

Week 1-Steelers, 2-Ravens, 3-Steelers, 4-Steelers, 5-Ravens, 6-Ravens, 7-Ravens, 8-49ers, 9-Steelers, 10-Ravens, 11-Ravens

History of superbowl loser:

Week 1-Packers, 2-Eagles, 3-Lions, 4-Packers, 5-Packers, 6-Lions, 7-Packers, 8-Steelers, 9-49ers, 10-49ers, 11-Packers

Yeah, I know the Ravens lost to Seattle.  Statistically speaking, they are still the team to be reckoned with... statistically...