The game that sticks out like a sore thumb is the Rams vs Eagles game. Without much thought it seems like a cake walk for the Eagles, but based on last years stats, the two teams match up so closely that the calculation came to a win for the Rams by a very slight home team advantage.
I also don't see the Vikings scoring only 9 points, but this is using stats without McNabb.
The Packers have a very good defense, but I'm not sure if they're going to hold the Saints to 12 points. Keep in mind these are averaged points rounded to the nearest whole number. Later weeks I have teams projected to score 8 points. That's a rare score to have so 7, 9 or 10 would be more expected.
Team Records Projected based on nothing but last years stats:
These projections actually look about right to me. I don't think Carolina will go 0-16 as I think they will be a better team this year, although not much better. I'm not sure if the Niners are good enough to go 8-8 this year, but they have the 3rd easiest schedule in the NFL, so 8-8 still won't be impressive given their schedule.
The Colts have a schedule that would allow Manning to throw for 5,000 yards, but since he's out Week 1 and it's unknown how long he'll be out, I don't see that 5,027 passing yard number being accurate.
Bills had the worst rush defense in the league last year, but 2,920 yards against seems on the high side. It doesn't help them that they play some of the leagues best rushing offenses in the league this year, however.
Play off Projections:
Wild Card Week
Giants @ Eagles: Eagles Win
Falcons @ Niners: Falcons Win
Jets @ Patriots: Patriots Win
Ravens @ Titans: Ravens Win
Division Week
Falcons @ Packers: Packers Win
Eagles @ Saints: Saints Win
Patriots @ Chargers: Chargers Win
Ravens @ Steelers: Steelers Win
Conference Week
Saints @ Packers: Packers Win
Chargers @ Steelers: Steelers Win
Superbowl: Steelers win 14-13 over the Packers
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