Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Week 3 Projections


I have a lot of disagreements this week...  I think Carolina will win, Niners will win, Jets will win, Falcons will win, Packers will win and Cards will win.  My projections obviously disagree with me though.  All of those games are projected to be close with the exception of the Niners game, so who knows?

These upsets are nothing compared to the crazy new season projections.  Detroit's statistical annihilation of Kansas City has catapulted them to the top of their division and are now projected to make it all the way to the Super Bowl.  Yes, that's right.  Super Bowl bound Detroit Lions.  If Stafford stays healthy and they keep up the good performances, it might stay that way too!



Teams on the rise:
Broncos go from 0 wins to 2, Bengals 8-9, Browns 5-6, Steelers 13-15, Titans 8-9, Cowboys 7-8, Giants 8-9, Lions take a huge leap forward 7-12, Saints 11-12, Bucs 7-9

Teams on the decline:
Chiefs 5-4, Chargers 13-12, Ravens 14-12, Colts 6-5, Jags 7-5, Eagles 14-13, Cardinals 6-5, Niners 10-8 (that's more like it), Seahawks 4-3, Bears 12-10, Packers 12-11 (despite winning, their defense is giving up a LOT of yards & points), Vikings 6-4

Teams staying put:
Bills (6), Dolphins (4), Pats and Jets (12), Raiders (8), Texans (9), Redskins (6), Rams (5), Falcons (10), Panthers (0-for now)

Play off projections-Steelers back on top
As always, I take the latest season projections and pit the play off teams together using the same formulas and project the super bowl winner.

AFC Teams by seed:
1-Steelers, 2-Patriots, 3-Chargers, 4-Titans, 5-Jets, 6-Ravens
NFC Teams by seed:
1-Eagles, 2-Lions, 3-Saints, 4-Niners, 5-Packers, 6-Falcons

Wild Card Week:
Jets @ Titans, Titans Win
Ravens @ Chargers, Chargers Win
Packers @ Niners, Packers Win
Falcons @ Saints, Saints Win

Division Week:
Titans @ Steelers, Steelers Win
Chargers @ Patriots, Patriots Win
Packers @ Eagles, Eagles Win
Saints @ Lions, Lions Win

Conference Week:
Patriots @ Steelers, Steelers Win
Lions @ Eagles, Lions Win

Super Bowl:
Steelers beat Lions 18-14.  Yuck.

This will probably stay true for next week, since the Steelers playing the Colts should help, not hurt them, statistically.

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